Battle for the House tests Trump, GOP hold on Congress
Nov 07 2018 by Lorena Waters
"Multiple aides to Mr. Trump said they were bracing for a staff shake-up, particularly if the losses were massive".
United States politics expert, Dr James D. Boys, speaking to LBC, said that is more likely that a Republican challenger will get in the way of Trump securing a second term in the White House. He is already talking about making deals with Democrats on infrastructure, something that could leave Republicans on the sidelines.
ArizonaSenate candidate Rep. Martha McSally (R) explained, "That will come to a screeching halt if the majority flips, and that's why this race is so important".
But Democrats are hoping to take control of at least the House of Representatives, giving them the opportunity to derail Trump's legislative agenda, and give them power to expand investigations into his personal and professional conduct.
Republicans had expected the GOP tax plan would be the cornerstone of their election agenda this year, but it became a potential liability in key states along the East and West coasts where residents could face higher tax bills because of limits on property and sales tax deductions. So Democrats need to flip just two seats now held by the GOP in order to win control.
What is the Trump-o-Meter? But several critical state governor positions may go to the Democrats.
While a Democratic victory is far from guaranteed, the party has been viewed as a slight favorite to win the House on Election Day. Pinellas County Democrats joined forces to cross campaign with Congressman Charlie Crist, Attorney General candidate Sean Shaw, Florida House District 69 candidate Jennifer Webb and Senate District 24 candidate Lindsay Cross. "As I travel across the country, I listen to the VIPs: the volunteers in politics".
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All seats are contested every two years.
In the final days of the campaign, Trump amped up his rhetoric, peppering his rallies with improbable doomsday scenarios should the Democrats win control of one or both congressional bodies. And why do they matter? But two years after an election that proved polls and prognosticators wrong, nothing is certain on the eve of the first nationwide elections of the Trump presidency.
In the House of Representatives (the Congress), elections are on for all 435 seats. Speaking to reporters as he left the White House en route to his rallies, Trump seemed to dampen expectations for his party in the House. This makes it easier for the President to pass his legislation and do things like appoint judges to the Supreme Court.
"Speaker Ryan called the President [on Sunday] and said, "look, we had a great jobs report, let's talk about the economy" and so you have a lot of Republicans who want to talk about the record unemployment numbers that are out right now - this is one of the bright spots for Republicans, they want to talk this up, they think if they're going to be able to get suburban swing voters, that it's going to be the economy that brings these people to vote for Republicans, not this divisive immigration rhetoric".
Billionaire former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg, who personally invested US$110 million to help Democrats this year, largely in the House, has seized on voter education levels in picking target races, according to senior aide Howard Wolfson.
What are the chances of that happening?
In an interview with Fox and Friends, Judge Andrew Napolitano have his assessment of what a Democratic majority in the House would mean for the Trump administration.
There are several Democratic House targets, too, especially in NY and MI, but Republicans could pick up two Democratic-held seats in rural Minnesota.
Defeated GOP presidential candidate Mitt Romney was poised to win a Senate seat from Utah.
An 86% chance is not a sure thing, but it's a strong indicator of the most likely outcome.
The GOP now has 51 Senate seats compared to the Democrats' 49. Democrats hold 47 seats and independents two.
For nearly two years, Trump's rule-breaking, sometimes chaotic administration has enjoyed a largely free hand from the twin Republican-controlled chambers, but the midterms could finally see his wings clipped. "But, as you know, my primary focus has been on the Senate, and I think we're doing really well in the Senate".