Nov 06 2018 by Kristina Bennett
While President Donald Trump is not on the ballot, the most polarizing United States president for decades has put himself at the center of every issue. The results could shift the balance of power in Washington and alter the next two years of Trump's presidency.
Of those, 26 are already held by Democrats, which is why many are tipping Republicans to retain their slim majority. In the last such congressional elections in 2014, there were 27.5 million early votes.
In the Legislature, all 203 House seats are up, along with 25 Senate seats.
NY has a total number of twenty-seven seats and it appears the chance of winning for the Democrats is "solid".
Let's assume the double-digit leads that Democrats used to have on the generic ballot (until recently) prevails on Election Day, and Americans vote Democratic by 10 or more points nationwide.
If Trump's party begins to see him as a liability he will no longer enjoy such a free hand.
U.S. networks have withdrawn President Donald Trump's ad about a cop-killing illegal immigrant. "I don't think so", Trump said, invoking images of the caravan of Central American migrants moving through Mexico. On the line for the president will be his ability to legislate, build his promised border wall, appoint new judges and ultimately set the stage to run for a second term.
Independents and moderates, they say, want candidates who exhibit maturity and stability.
The question, as I say, is whether he's taken it so far that some indies otherwise inclined to vote GOP for economic reasons might shy away now. "That is an invasion of our country".
Democrats are most optimistic about the House, a sprawling battlefield extending from Alaska to Florida.
Seven points may sound like a big gap, but the poll, conducted on the first three days of November, has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 points among 774 people surveyed, half by cellphone, half by landline.
"If they take back the House, he essentially will become a lame-duck president, and he won't win re-election", said Amy Kremer, a tea party activist who leads the group Women for Trump. When you participate in the political process, you can be a check on bad behavior. He falsely said that Democrats want to give health care benefits to unauthorised immigrants and are openly encouraging undocumented immigrants to vote. The reforms signed into law by Democratic president Barack Obama have helped millions of Americans gain insurance.
Voters cast their ballots for Early Voting at the Los Angeles County Registrar's Office in Norwalk, California. Immigration is a top concern among Republican voters, and driving those issue-focused Trump supporters to the polls is key.
Trump, Sanders said, was "the most racist, sexist, homophobic, bigoted president in history", adding later for good measure that Trump was a "pathological liar".
This insecure white tribe is Donald Trump's base; there's no confusion in his mind about his message or his target audience.
Tuesday's elections will also test the strength of a Trump-era political realignment defined by evolving divisions among voters by race, gender and especially education.
Races to watch include Democrat Beto O'Rourke's challenge to Senator Ted Cruz in traditionally deep-Republican Texas. Even in the nine midterm elections when the president's approval rating was above 50 percent, his party still lost an average of 14 seats.
Ari Fleischer, George W. Bush's press secretary, said Democratic control of the House "has both peril and promise for the president". "That is particularly true when a president is unpopular, as this president is".
What it would mean: If Democrats' House gain is somewhere in the neighborhood of 30 seats, that would be on par with what often happens in midterm elections when the other party has the presidency. Polling suggests the Republican coalition is increasingly older, whiter, more male and less likely to have a college degree.
And in Indiana, FiveThirtyEight says Democratic Sen. The president's energetic rallies appear to have bolstered Republicans who were trying to match Democratic fervour, rooted in antipathy for Mr Trump.
And uncharted waters for the Trump White House. "Anything that gets done will have to be a bipartisan basis".
As recently as last week, when Trump was accused of sowing division with his response to the synagogue shootings in Pittsburgh and harsh rhetoric on migrants travelling to the USA border from Central America, voters heard little about that from Democrats running for Congress.
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