5 best Oscar nominees who didn't win (and we're still not over)

The Oscars are in full swing but the award show isn't just bringing out gold statues and celebs in Hollywood... herpes are also running amok

Martin McDonagh's darkly amusing tragicomedy has surged at the 11th hour to go into Sunday as the narrow favourite in what most experts are characterizing as a four-way race with The Shape of Water, Get Out and Lady Bird.

"It's incredibly tight this year", said Jessica Bridge, a spokeswoman for the United Kingdom betting group Ladbrokes Plc.

Another two-horse race and while odds favour the wonderful Guillermo del Toro, there is a late surge of support for Jordan Peele and his inspired horror Get Out. The rest are 10 to 1 or higher.

Bettors have a good record predicting the victor. But actors (the largest branch of the academy) have rallied behind "Billboards", so it's the safest pick this year. She returned to host again in 1996, 1999 and, memorably, in 2002, just five months after 9/11.Despite such an unenviable position, that night she quipped: "This has been a hell of a year".

Guillermo del Toro winning Best Director is probably the surest win of these categories, having won almost every precursor award (like the Golden Globe and the Directors Guild of America Award). It is the third film ever to win 11 awards, tying with "Titanic" in 1997 and "Ben-Hur" in 1959.

The two leading films have faced criticism.

Keeping the more than three-hour show - usually the most-watched non-sports telecast each year in the United States - upbeat in a year overshadowed by allegations of sexual assault will also be a tough challenge. He has denied the claim.

These films certainly did not deserve an Oscar award.

There is wide consensus that Guillermo del Toro, with his masterful lead, will take home the gold, with Variety, Yahoo, HuffPo, Entertainment Weekly, and many others predicting he'll come out on top.

The Academy recognized McConaughey's extreme commitment to playing an HIV/AIDS stricken electrician with a Best Actor win during the 2014 ceremony. Yes, no Marvel Cinematic Universe film has an Oscar. In response, the academy announces plans to increase the number of women and minority members. That was done in response to the online campaign called #oscarssowhite, which highlighted the lack of diversity in the nominations.

Welcome to the weird new world of the Academy Awards.

It's a showdown between The Shape Of Water and Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri. Their choices often point to the ultimate best picture victor.

The tense retelling of the storied 1940 evacuation of hundreds of thousands of Allied troops from a beach in northern France, starring One Direction singer Harry Styles, is an outsider for the top prize going into Sunday. It's nominated for best screenplay, which also correlates highly with best picture.

Part of the fun of predicting this category - and I'm really not being sarcastic when I use the word "fun" - is looking at other awards that are meant to help pinpoint which of the nominees will ultimately succeed.

-Will win: Sam Rockwell went big in "Three Billboards" as the racist cop who decides to (maybe) start rethinking (some of) his ways.

"Greta Gerwig ("Lady Bird") is the fifth woman in history nominated for best director" and the first to land the nod for a directorial debut. But that can be said about nearly every one of his performances.