Early voting: More good signs for Clinton in key states
Nov 01 2016 by Kristina Bennett
Neither Clinton's opponent, Republican Donald Trump, nor the biggest outside groups supporting him had filed October fundraising reports by Thursday evening. The documents give a final glimpse of the candidates' financial position before the November 8 election. Democrats now lead in ballots submitted, 46 per cent to 29 per cent.
The survey finds little sign of a large engagement advantage among Democrats or Republicans at this point - 62 percent of registered voters in both groups say they are following the race "very closely", and 88 percent in each group say they are "absolutely certain to vote" or volunteer they have already cast their ballot.
TOSS-UP: Arizona, Florida, Iowa, Maine 2nd District, Nebraska 2nd District, North Carolina, Ohio, Utah (87 total electoral votes).
According to the survey, Trump's rise among voters is due to the return of Republican women to his camp.
Late Saturday, four senior Democratic senators urged the Justice Department and the Federal Bureau of Investigation to provide more detailed information by Monday about what investigative steps are being taken, the number of emails involved and what is being done to determine how numerous emails are duplicative of those already reviewed by the Federal Bureau of Investigation.
In Florida, McDonald said it's hard to compare this year's early voting with what happened in 2012 because the state's laws and procedures have changed significantly to encourage early voting.
The head-to-head race in North Carolina moved from Clinton +3 when Quinnipiac polled in early October to Clinton +6 today, while the third-party-inclusive match moved from Clinton +3 to Clinton +4. But many Democratic-leaning counties reduced the number of polling stations in the first week, a likely factor in the decline.
In-person voting is off to a slower start for both Democrats and Republicans compared to 2012, when Republican Mitt Romney narrowly won the state. "He's running out of time", said Ryan Williams, a GOP consultant in the state, echoing others. Ballots rose in Arizona especially among younger adults and Latinos. The Arizona Republic, formerly the Arizona Republican, had never (as the name would suggest) endorsed a Democrat for president in its 126-year history.
Among other examples of partisan shifts in turnout, the share of white likely voters who are Democrats or lean that way is down by 5 points.
The Lone Star State isn't the lightest shade of blue on even the most hopeful Democrat's map.
Comey spoke Saturday with the Republican and Democratic leaders of the House Judiciary Committee, said Chairman Bob Goodlatte, R-Va. "Republican leadership in OH has created opportunities for greater ballot access and in no way would we ever be involved in the intimidation of voters".
Furthermore, only a few battleground states publish voting data by party ahead of time.
In addition to the presidential race, all of Pennsylvania's 18 seats in the U.S. House and all 203 seats in the state House are also up this year, along with half the 50-member Senate and a U.S. Senate seat. Clinton was up 45 - 39 percent September 22. They must be certified and take an oath.
Still, Trump's path to a victory is narrow, and any realistic chance rests on his winning Ohio, North Carolina and Florida.
The Trump campaign - which aims to make attacks based on the Clinton emails and "Obamacare" premium hikes the centerpieces of their argument - believes that white working-class voters in the Midwest could tip MI or Wisconsin his way, especially if he benefits from reduced enthusiasm for Clinton in African-American strongholds like Detroit and Milwaukee.